a mix of black and white

Starve a Fever, Save a Buck

June 27th, 2007 @ 12:55 pm by gray

So if we accept for a moment that the system of government is driven literally by the flow of money, then what are some structural changes that could constrain its abuse, to rechannel it along primary tributaries instead of individual eddies? One first step is rolling back the anonymity, and thus the appeal, of earmarks on legislation that amend spending to include ‘pork‘ projects. Some progress was made earlier this year by requiring names and some proof of non-interest in attached earmarks in both sides of Congress. But more recently the pendulum is swinging back towards obfuscation, with Congress sidestepping the issue simply by renaming the practice something other than ‘earmarking’ (see also: ‘enemy non-combatant’).

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The New Machine Politics

June 26th, 2007 @ 4:42 pm by gray

Political coverage has been slow to grow on me. In the current media environment, though, it is pretty hard to escape. And one theme keeps occurring to me as I listen to stories on the umpteen presidential candidates, the daily do-nothing travails of Congress, or some new scandal of lobbyist influence - so many of the prevailing problems are endemic to the system itself, which reinforces all the behaviors we seem to complain about. The foremost mechanic at work in the system, of course, is the currency of favor. Money buys elections in both straightforward and underhanded ways, and the favor is returned. After all, the government is responsible to We The People it purports to serve at only irregular intervals - 4 or 6 years apart - whereas the drive for money for personal and professional gain is everpresent (does re-election fundraising ever really end?). So it only makes sense that the underlying business of government is to service its true constituencies in the form of corporate donors, private industries, and political patrons. To accomplish this, however, they need at least some cover for their activities to forestall a revolt at that 4 or 6 year interval, which comes in the form of political theater (wedge issues, ideologues, and non-binding resolutions) and is conveyed by the commercial press. How might we explain this improper relationship between the press and politics, previously one of debutante and chaperone, now increasingly a morally-bankrupt pas de deux?

In a timely selection, today’s St. Louis On The Air segment covered the intersection of politics and media. Missouri state Senator Jeff Smith spoke about the factors behind his own failed national campaign, many of which seemed to boil down to the circular, “I’d like to vote for you, but you won’t win.” He also recalled a recent address to the Missouri Scholars Academy, where of the 300-plus MSA attendees, many were following the presidential race - but while almost all knew the cost of John Edwards’ haircuts, only one was familiar with his health care proposal. The superficiality of modern political coverage is persistent - we see Obama in a swimsuit, Hillary Clinton spoofing the final Sopranos episode to pick a campaign song - creating a ‘celebrity politics.’ And The Daily Show’s Jon Stewart gets referred by a caller as a more reliable source for political news than CNN, MSNBC, or Fox News. This in turn recalled Jon Stewart’s interview with Bill Moyers, which dealt with the abdication of press responsibility in political oversight and the need for the satire of The Daily Show, as well as his now-infamous appearance on CNN Crossfire where he criticized the hosts for their ‘partisan hackery.’

The segment ended with a brief discussion of the Supreme Court ruling yesterday on a provision of the Feingold-McCain Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act, which said in part that “the restrictions on television advertisements paid for from corporate or union treasuries in the weeks before an election amounted to censorship of core political speech unless those advertisements explicitly urge a vote for or against a particular candidate.” The core precept of this, and indeed most conservative/liberal/Libertarian public opposition to campaign finance reform, is that Money Is Speech, and thus restricting money violates the First Amendment. The twin boomerang effects of the decision are that the Act was originally challenged by Wisconsin Right To Life specifically to punish Feingold for his role in blocking Bush’s judicial nominees, and that the decision will likely harm McCain’s own bid for the presidency by reminding conservatives (who resented the restriction) of his role in the original bill. Yet while this narrow ruling was made possible by the rightward slanting of the Court with the appointment of Roberts and Alito (who reversed Sandra Day O’Connor’s previous support for the provision), the three Justices Scalia, Kennedy, and Thomas refused to join Roberts’ majority fully because it did not overturn the campaign finance reform in its entirety.

In an even more bald-faced example of the entanglement of journalism and money, we have the New York Times portrayal yesterday of Rupert Murdoch’s recent bid for the Wall Street Journal in terms of personal power (subtly collected under the moniker “Murdochracy”). “His vast media holdings give him a gamut of tools — not just campaign contributions, but also jobs for former government officials and media exposure that promotes allies while attacking adversaries, sometimes viciously — all of which he has used to further his financial interests,” such as courting Trent Lott to reverse his position on TV market ownership to avoid disbursement of his Fox TV holdings. The enticement? A $250,000 book deal through his Harper-Collins imprint (a the memoir which went on to sell a miserable 12,000 copies). Similar book deals with Senators Arlen Specter and Kay Bailey Hutchinson gave him influence over three members of the Commerce and Judiciary Committees with jurisdiction over media policy. More chilling yet is a $1 million deal struck between Harper Collins and Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas. Murdoch also threatened former FCC chairman Reed Hundt with retribution in the private sector if Hundt were to remove any of Murdoch’s TV licenses as the result of an investigation into questionable acquisitions, saying he would not be able to “get a job as dog catcher” if crossed. All this on top of his transforming The New York Post into a self-serving right-wing tabloid, and establishing Fox News as his rejoinder to the perceived liberal bias in mainstream news, contribute to a portrait of Murdoch as ruthlessly committed to the expansion of his holdings by any means necessary and then leveraging his influence via that media to sell his agenda. Where else might that description prove apt? What stalwart member of the current administration would it not characterize?

Even the media feeding frenzy around someone whose name rhymes with Ferris Milton and their potential payment for an interview after their latest misdeeds reveals a clear pattern of a media system that rewards bad behavior. With reported interview deals up to $1 million, not to mention lucrative ‘tell-all’ book deals and made-for-TV rights, the road to riches for the least deserving, even the most reprehensible (cf. “If I Did It”), is well-paved. But while the case for mass media stooping to appeal to the lowest denominator for an audience and thus advertising dollars may be clear-cut, why would venerable news organization abrogate their own responsibility as watchdogs of government? First, perhaps because they are no longer much different from their entertainment-only brethren. CNN created the niche of a 24-hour, all-news format, which now they have to fill - that ticker doesn’t write itself. Competition from other networks and other media such as the Internet further put pressure on the news system to struggle for the sensational ’scoop,’ and leave boring analysis for the back pages of the Times or Wall Street Journal. Unless the WSJ gets bought out by Murdoch, of course, in which anything goes. And second, conflicts of interest are almost impossible to avoid with media ownership so consolidated, which raises the revenue demands of each and thus heightens the risk of economic damage from not playing the game (see also: the hollowing out of original content in the movie business, where sequels and based-on adaptations aim to provide the assurance of a built-in audience for the blockbuster-dependent studios). In the reverse example of Murdoch, speak too critically of a member of a powerful subcommittee, or even a political party, and you may find yourself on the wrong end of substantial FCC punitive fines (ironically established as an response to the ideological straw man of the “wardrobe malfunction” that so paralyzed our nation) or even lost licenses. The payola system works both ways, which makes all of the entangled parties more and more entrenched by the mechanics of the influence trade over time. And ultimately the system favors no party exclusively, only incumbents and those in a position to benefit from the largesse.

In recognition of this mounting challenges to governance, jurisprudence, and journalism, Lawrence Lessig has announced that he will be changing his focus from copyright issues to focus on this “corruption.” The continued popularity of The Daily Show’s irreverence and biting sarcasm show the growth of a new, more media-savvy generation. Knowing how to read behind the PR spin and party rhetoric, and past hot-button distractions, to the structure beneath the system of the political machine is the first step towards dismantling or altering it for the better. Noblesse oblige is dead; in a system of monied political capital, caveat emptor is the watchword now.

[Essay] Tags: ,

Scrying for Stardust

June 26th, 2007 @ 2:23 am by gray

When I first heard that Neil Gaiman’s Stardust (my favorite work of his, which is a feat) was being produced as a film, and had in fact proceeded past the option limbo where most fantasy and sci-fi scripts go to die (just when is Neuromancer coming out, anyway? 2009 now?), I was desperately hopeful. When I heard some of the attached cast, I became more concerned: Claire Danes as Yvaine is a good match in temperament yet hardly a snow-blonde, but Michelle Pfeiffer? Robert de Niro?! Was this going to be a case of names trumping plot?

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Analyzing the Analysts

June 25th, 2007 @ 8:42 pm by gray

Read any IT trade journals or their online kin and you will be inundated with the work of analyst firms like Gartner Research and JupiterResearch. Their contributions typically appear as short, assured statements of relative technology maturity (”virtualization to rule server room by 2010“), often joined with fearless statistical predictions (”worldwide PC shipments to increase 10 percent“) and the ever-useful bar chart or line graph showing projected adoption curves. They serve as the stolid benchmark of IT punditry, like the AP and Reuters of tech opinion.

Their business model for providing these ubiquitous quotations and summary graphs works like supermarket free samples, gaining virtue by association through regular appearances in public media. This creates a virtuous cycle - a Gartner analyst gets quoted in article on trends in virtualization, which establishes their credential as someone reputable on the topic, which leads to more citations - which raises their brand equity, and in turn attributes apparent value and credibility to their for-profit proprietary reports sold to corporate subscribers. But is this reputation duly earned by the data itself? In the wider field of futurism, as in stock picking, the value of your product ought to be tied directly to your record. Yet as the Roman poet Juvenal asked, “Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?” - or in this case, “who analyzes the analysts?”

JupiterResearch bills itself as offering “unbiased research, analysis and advice, backed by proprietary data, to help companies profit from the impact of the Internet and emerging consumer technologies on their business.” Even putting aside for a moment the inherent potential for conflict of interest in data sold for profit contributing to research bias (where the Internet age has a particularly spotty record a la “study commissioned by Microsoft”), is there any body of objective research on the research conducted, particularly the type tied to adoption rates (such as Gartner’s ‘hype cycles,’ itself a provocative phrase of the primacy of hype in research results)? For all of the charts showing stratospheric take-up of 3G mobile phones, average size of Storage Area Networks, or even dead-and-back-again concepts like “push technology” with clean graphs showing extrapolated growth out 3 to 5 years, is there a corresponding set of data showing their hit rate in ‘guessing the market’?

While a common-sense rejoinder is that the market would inevitably correct if they were lousy prognosticators, in a media-saturated environment and consistently shortening time-spans for evaluation, I wonder if the market is so caught up in new predictions and short-term expectations to even pay heed to longer cycles of accuracy. And since prediction is more likely to bear out in the shortest term, you can look right on the 6-month field while failing miserably at the 3-year mark, without possibly being caught out for it. Even in market analysis, which would seem by its very nature to live and die by Darwinian selection of the best guessers, the prevalence of puffed predictions without corresponding punishment raises the same concern. For example, TheStreet’s speculation today that Apple’s iPhone could net the company $216 million come Friday based on simple extrapolation (1962 potential store outlets x 200 phones in inventory x 100% sell-through = 392,000 iPhones x $550 average price = $216 million revenue) hardly seems like deep insight, yet come Saturday morning, what downside is there to guessing wrong? (Other than for Apple’s stock valuation, which has already lost over $4 billion in an afternoon over Engadget’s irresponsible posting of a fraudulent notice that the iPhone would be delayed a few months.) TheStreet got pageviews, and thus ad revenue for making the quotable claim. On Saturday (or whenever Apple releases official first-day sales), they have a built-in story regardless of how the launch goes. This McLuhan-esque play on meaning becoming secondary to the news cycle has ramifications for all news reporting in modern media, with particular effects already seen in law, politics, public policy, and the shape of entertainment.

Meanwhile, if a watchdog on the players in ‘unbiased research for sale’ does not yet exist, it certainly seems a valuable role to fill in media accuracy, just as CharityNavigator has added some rigor to evaluating the efficiency of non-profit organizations.

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The Problem of Pirahã

June 22nd, 2007 @ 3:17 pm by gray

Courtesy of Kottke, ran across this article in the New Yorker that recounts field linguistics work by Dan Everett that has tremendous implications for language study. The Pirahã tribe in the Amazon of northwestern Brazil reportedly exhibit a number of traits that not only undermine some of the tenets of Noam Chomsky’s universal grammar, but also resurrect the cultural acquisition theory of Edward Sapir and even aspects of the Sapir-Whorf Hypothesis.

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eMusic Picks - July

June 19th, 2007 @ 3:07 pm by gray

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eMusic Picks - June

June 8th, 2007 @ 2:52 pm by gray

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Code Poetry, revisited

June 4th, 2007 @ 4:04 pm by gray

[KA was not totally swayed by my first pass on "code poetry" so, with her permission, here is the exchange that builds out the concept a bit more.]

These things are certainly possible but what would be missing, at least in my stubborn take on it, is the creative aspect that attempts to incorporate human emotion/experience/transcendence into the
supernatural, etc.

I try and take this on without instinctively defending what is really a fledgling idea, and not automatically assume that code can be poetry. But I will try and address some of your questions to see how far the idea can go.

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